Here’s a bold statement: this year’s Amateur National is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing races in recent memory, and there’s one horse that could surprise everyone. But here’s where it gets controversial—while some are betting on the favorites, others are quietly eyeing underdogs with untapped potential. Let’s dive into the analysis and key insights that could change the way you view this race.
Derek O’Connor, a three-time winner of the Amateur National since 2016, is a name that commands attention. This year, he’s teamed up with Showurappreciation for Jonathan Sweeney, a partnership that’s raising eyebrows. The eight-year-old gelding made a strong impression in his first handicap at Navan last month, securing third place despite a mistake at the third-last fence. With a mark of 116, he’s not just a long shot—he’s a contender with room to grow. This will be his fourth start over fences and his ninth career outing, leaving plenty of room for improvement. And this is the part most people miss—horses like him often thrive under the radar, especially with a seasoned jockey like O’Connor in the saddle.
Pat Fahy’s Prince Palace, ridden by champion amateur Patrick Mullins, is another horse to watch. Fitted with first-time blinkers, he could return to the form that saw him finish ninth in the Troytown Chase at Navan two starts ago. However, his latest performance at the same venue was underwhelming, leaving fans divided. Is this a sign of inconsistency, or a hidden gem waiting to shine?
Then there’s Gringo D’Aubrelle, the dark horse of the race. With a hurdles mark of 131 after a dominant performance in muddy conditions at Navan, his chase mark of 113 seems almost too good to be true. Yes, he’s been unplaced in four starts over fences, but he’s only competed in one handicap. Under 7lb claimer Josh Halford and with testing conditions in his favor, he could be the surprise package. But here’s the controversial question—are we underestimating his potential, or is his lack of consistency a red flag?
The last two winners of this race were returned at 11-4, including Ted Walsh’s Hardwired in 2024, who’s back to defend his title with an 8lb higher mark. Can he repeat history, or will the competition prove too fierce?
What the Trainers Say
- Pat Fahy on Prince Palace: 'He’s better than ever in training. The last race was a disappointment, but if he returns to his Troytown form, he’ll be right there.'
- Cian Collins on Solly Attwell: 'The distance suits him perfectly, and he ran well for a long way at Newbury. Rob James and he have a great connection, and I’m confident he’ll perform well here.'
- Martin Hassett on Soloman Lane: 'He’s an old horse with a young heart, much like myself! He’s improved since his last win, and while he’s fragile, he’s in great form. I wouldn’t discourage anyone from placing a fiver each-way on him.'
- Gordon Elliott on Gringo D’Aubrelle: 'He won convincingly in tough conditions at Navan over hurdles. With a lower mark over fences, he should be competitive. If he jumps well, the trip, track, and ground should all play to his strengths.'
Final Thoughts
This race is a perfect blend of proven winners and hidden talents. While some horses have the stats to back their claims, others are flying under the radar, waiting for their moment to shine. Here’s the thought-provoking question for you—in a race as unpredictable as the Amateur National, should you bet on consistency or take a chance on potential? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!
